Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.955389 1.071059 1.196808 1.343923 1.511640 1.697258 1.918758
2026-02-08 0.753126 0.901821 1.075828 1.295477 1.566720 1.892465 2.315931
2026-02-15 0.625804 0.789493 0.992637 1.265349 1.625002 2.087428 2.733992
2026-02-22 0.560021 0.738544 0.971518 1.301415 1.762328 2.392047 3.332410
2026-03-01 0.501422 0.686477 0.938495 1.312073 1.860801 2.651534 3.903559
2026-03-08 0.443145 0.626181 0.884634 1.283078 1.894235 2.816929 4.355624
2026-03-15 0.395437 0.574576 0.835771 1.252806 1.917933 2.965567 4.797891
2026-03-22 0.376524 0.562558 0.842674 1.306048 2.075063 3.340258 5.665452
2026-03-29 0.356271 0.545901 0.839904 1.342289 2.207217 3.689098 6.542432
2026-04-05 0.336576 0.527821 0.832427 1.368851 2.324631 4.025987 7.450548
2026-04-12 0.314062 0.502850 0.810916 1.368417 2.393285 4.282737 8.245423
2026-04-19 0.290033 0.473095 0.778389 1.344642 2.415592 4.454401 8.895629
2026-04-26 0.261465 0.434222 0.728467 1.287457 2.374483 4.510386 9.341781
2026-05-03 0.238864 0.403843 0.690811 1.249241 2.366083 4.632210 9.959869
2026-05-10 0.220519 0.379383 0.661456 1.223487 2.379149 4.800205 10.716860
2026-05-17 0.212539 0.372795 0.663926 1.259549 2.523135 5.267960 12.279676
2026-05-24 0.201958 0.360454 0.654395 1.270371 2.614924 5.634559 13.671951
2026-05-31 0.187711 0.340033 0.627555 1.242626 2.618668 5.799795 14.577603
2026-06-07 0.174650 0.320835 0.601416 1.213507 2.615448 5.947798 15.469009
2026-06-14 0.171387 0.320357 0.612286 1.264911 2.804504 6.595008 17.917683
2026-06-21 0.166556 0.316349 0.615575 1.299887 2.959380 7.182404 20.340799
2026-06-28 0.161113 0.310646 0.614802 1.325514 3.094882 7.742419 22.826564
2026-07-05 0.153694 0.300306 0.603335 1.325098 3.164678 8.136364 24.881187